F1 Title Paths
What every driver and constructor needs from the races that are left, worked out exactly from the points still available. No odds, no guesses.
Updated Mon, Oct. 26, 9:52 p.m. CT
What every driver and constructor needs from the races that are left, worked out exactly from the points still available. No odds, no guesses.
Updated Mon, Oct. 26, 9:52 p.m. CT
Pick a championship tab: drivers or constructors. The standings show each name's title status and, on wider screens, the best and worst place it can still finish; every name's card shows that range too. Select a name to see what it needs: whether it wins the title just by winning every remaining race, what would clinch the title or end its hopes at the next race, and who can still finish ahead of it. Every answer is worked out exactly from the points still available, and the page is redone after each race.
How to read this: every statement is exact. It assumes each remaining Grand Prix pays 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1 (and a Sprint 8-7-6-5-4-3-2-1), that any car can score or fail to finish, and that only drivers on the current FIA entry list can add points. A shortened race pays fewer points; the page is redone after every race.
Ties on points are decided by countback on Grand Prix results: most wins, then most second places, and so on (Sprint results don't count). This page never guesses a countback: a result that depends on one is labelled.
Constructors score both of their cars in every race, including cars driven by stand-in drivers.
Basis: ESPN's results, checked race by race against a second, independent source (Wikipedia) and against the FIA's official championship points before anything is published.
A Grand Prix pays 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1 to the top 10 finishers, and a Sprint pays 8-7-6-5-4-3-2-1 to the top eight. There is no point for the fastest lap. A race stopped early can pay fewer points, depending on how far the leader got (FIA F1 Regulations, Section A, Article A2.2).
The driver becomes champion by winning every remaining race, whatever anyone else does. For a constructor it means finishing first and second in every remaining race.
The title is still possible, but even winning every remaining race wouldn't be enough on its own: a rival could still finish ahead by finishing second every time (for a constructor, third and fourth). That rival needs to drop points somewhere.
Each team scores the points of both of its cars in every race. Points scored by a stand-in driver count for the team he drove for.
The page counts only the drivers on the FIA's current entry list as able to add points. A driver who has stood in earlier in the season keeps his points but isn't counted as scoring more unless he is entered again.
The higher place goes to countback on Grand Prix results: most wins, then most second places, and so on, and then qualifying results. Sprint results don't count. This page never guesses a countback: any result that would depend on one is labelled as such.
Formula 1 and the FIA called off the Bahrain and Saudi Arabian Grands Prix planned for April because of the situation in the Middle East. The Bahrain Grand Prix was later held at Sepang in Malaysia in October; the Saudi Arabian Grand Prix was not replaced.